Pandemic Model Overview#

Analytic Binder

Description#

This is a pandemic modelling approach known as a S(usceptible), I(infected) and R(ecovered) or SIR model.

Components of the model are:

Agents: Each agent in the model represents an individual in the population. Agents have states of susceptible, infected, recovered, or dead. The Agents are point agents, randomly placed into the environment.

Environment: The environment is a set of polygons of a few Toronto neighborhoods.

Interaction Rules: Susceptible agents can become infected with a certain probability, if they come into contact with infected agents. Infected agents then recover after a certain period or perish based on a probability.

Parameters:

  • Population Size (number of human agents in the model)

  • Initial Infection (percent of the population initial infected)

  • Exposure Distance (proximity suscpetible agents must be to infected agents to possibly get infected)

  • Infection Risk (probability of becoming infected)

  • Recovery Rate (time infection lasts)

  • Mobility (distance agent moves)

Key Features#

  • Data Output: Map of select Toronto Neighborhoods

  • “Hamburger” Menu: ☰ In the upper left of the interface provides ways to change the parameters of model and see the impact on changing the dynamics of the previously listed parameters

  • Full Screen Button:  Upper right makes the dashboard full screen